Chart patterns are an essential part of technical analysis, providing traders with valuable insights into potential price movements. These patterns, composed of multiple candlesticks, can take time to form but offer clear signals once confirmed.
In this article, we’ll introduce you to some of the most common and reliable chart patterns you’ll encounter on your MT4 platform, helping you recognise potential trading opportunities.
What Are Chart Patterns?
Chart patterns are formations that occur when price movements create a predictable pattern. They typically form over a longer period and involve multiple candles. As a trader, recognising these patterns can help you predict potential price reversals or continuations. In this article, we’ll focus on the Head and Shoulders, Inverse Head and Shoulders, Double Top, and Double Bottom patterns—four of the most reliable patterns in Forex trading.
Head and Shoulders – Bearish Reversal Pattern
The Head and Shoulders pattern is one of the most widely recognised and reliable chart patterns. It indicates a potential reversal at the peak of an uptrend, signalling that a shift to bearish momentum may be approaching.
Components of the Head and Shoulders Pattern:
- Left Shoulder: The initial peak of the pattern. This marks the end of the previous uptrend, and the price starts to pull back.
- Head: The highest point of the pattern, where the price breaks above the left shoulder before retracing.
- Right Shoulder: A lower high formed after the head, similar in magnitude to the left shoulder, although some variance is possible.
- Neckline: The line connecting the lows of the left and right shoulders. It often runs horizontally but can also be ascending. A break below the neckline confirms the pattern.
Once the price breaches the neckline, a short trade is triggered. The stop loss can be placed above the right shoulder or the head, depending on your risk tolerance. A common occurrence after the neckline breach is a retest of the neckline, which can offer an additional opportunity to enter the trade if you missed the initial break.
In the example above, after the neckline break, the price declines by over 1000 pips within a couple of weeks, demonstrating the potential profitability of this pattern.
Deformed Head and Shoulders
Sometimes, the Head and Shoulders pattern can show irregularities such as:
- Multiple right shoulders
- Descending necklines
- Uneven shoulders
While cleaner patterns tend to be more reliable, these “deformed” patterns can still offer trading opportunities. Always wait for the neckline to break for confirmation before entering a trade.
Inverse Head and Shoulders – Bullish Reversal Pattern
The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern is the mirror image of the standard Head and Shoulders. It signals a potential bullish reversal at the end of a downtrend, indicating that buying pressure may be increasing.
Key Features:
- The pattern forms at market lows, and it works similarly to the Head and Shoulders pattern but in an upward direction.
- The neckline, once broken to the upside, confirms the reversal, suggesting that the price could rise significantly.
While the Inverse Head and Shoulders is still a reliable pattern, it’s often more difficult to spot than its bearish counterpart. As you gain experience, identifying these bullish reversal patterns will become easier.
Double Top – Bearish Reversal Pattern
The Double Top, often referred to as the “M” pattern, is another reliable bearish reversal pattern. It occurs after an uptrend and signals that the price has reached a point of exhaustion and is likely to decline.
How It Works:
- The pattern consists of two peaks of similar magnitude, originating from roughly the same point.
- The Confirmation Line connects the two valleys between the peaks, and the pattern is confirmed when the price breaks below this line.
- The second top often mirrors the first one, and the trader should wait for the Confirmation Line to be breached before entering a short position.
Once the price breaks the Confirmation Line, a bearish trend is typically confirmed, and the price may drop significantly.
Double Bottom – Bullish Reversal Pattern
The Double Bottom, or “W” pattern, is the bullish counterpart to the Double Top. It indicates a potential market bottom and a shift towards an uptrend.
How It Works:
- The pattern consists of two troughs of similar depth, separated by a peak in between.
- The Confirmation Line connects the peaks between the bottoms, and once the price breaks through this line, a buy position is triggered.
Like the Double Top, the Double Bottom pattern provides clear entry and exit points, offering traders the potential to profit from a reversal at market lows.
Using Chart Patterns in Your Trading Strategy
Chart patterns like the Head and Shoulders, Inverse Head and Shoulders, Double Top, and Double Bottom provide valuable insight into market sentiment and potential price movements. To maximise their effectiveness in your trading strategy, consider the following tips:
- Wait for Confirmation: Always wait for the pattern to be confirmed by a break of the neckline or confirmation line. Entering prematurely can lead to false signals.
- Use Stops and Risk Management: Place stop-loss orders at reasonable levels, such as above or below the pattern’s key points (e.g., above the right shoulder or the head in the Head and Shoulders pattern). Effective risk management is essential for preserving capital.
- Combine with Other Indicators: Use chart patterns in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, such as support and resistance levels, trend lines, or indicators like the RSI or MACD, to validate signals and improve your decision-making.
Chart patterns are powerful tools for identifying potential reversals in the market, offering clear entry and exit points.
By recognising patterns, you can increase your chances of spotting high-probability trades. Always wait for confirmation before entering, use effective risk management, and consider combining chart patterns with other technical analysis tools for better results.